Depth before conviction.
Start with the mechanism. Examine incentives, challenge assumptions, and build a view from first principles.
THREE POWERSAt the intersection of research, technology, and markets. Researching trading strategies across asset classes through data, disciplined testing, and an understanding of market structure.
Explore our approachSwitch strategy or move across the chart to explore.
Start with the mechanism. Examine incentives, challenge assumptions, and build a view from first principles.
Turn ideas into testable hypotheses. Examine data quality, avoid look-ahead bias, and account for real-world trading costs.
Study how liquidity, participants, and risk interact. Understand whether a strategy survives changing conditions.
Trading research across prediction markets, stocks, options, and crypto. Investigating how opportunities form, how strategies perform, and how risk changes across markets.
Event probabilities, pricing inefficiencies, and trading strategies around information and market resolution.
Momentum, mean reversion, relative value, and event-driven strategies across equity markets.
Volatility, pricing, hedging, and the risk profiles of directional and relative-value strategies.
Spot and derivatives trading, cross-venue pricing, liquidity, and on-chain market structure.
Explore the ideas, methods, and risks behind a strategy. Select a market, then open a question to look closer.
For research conversations and potential collaborations.